Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.000675 0.000767 0.000865 0.000976 0.001098 0.001228 0.001376
2025-09-28 0.000520 0.000646 0.000788 0.000959 0.001159 0.001385 0.001656
2025-10-05 0.000456 0.000601 0.000771 0.000985 0.001245 0.001546 0.001921
2025-10-12 0.000404 0.000560 0.000752 0.001002 0.001314 0.001687 0.002163
2025-10-19 0.000352 0.000513 0.000718 0.000993 0.001347 0.001781 0.002346
2025-10-26 0.000309 0.000472 0.000686 0.000983 0.001373 0.001863 0.002515
2025-11-02 0.000280 0.000446 0.000671 0.000991 0.001422 0.001972 0.002718
2025-11-09 0.000252 0.000419 0.000652 0.000990 0.001456 0.002063 0.002898
2025-11-16 0.000219 0.000380 0.000613 0.000960 0.001448 0.002097 0.003002
2025-11-23 0.000193 0.000349 0.000581 0.000937 0.001448 0.002138 0.003117
2025-11-30 0.000174 0.000328 0.000564 0.000932 0.001472 0.002211 0.003274
2025-12-07 0.000158 0.000311 0.000549 0.000930 0.001498 0.002288 0.003437
2025-12-14 0.000142 0.000290 0.000529 0.000919 0.001512 0.002348 0.003581
2025-12-21 0.000126 0.000269 0.000506 0.000902 0.001516 0.002394 0.003705
2025-12-28 0.000120 0.000264 0.000510 0.000927 0.001582 0.002530 0.003959
2026-01-04 0.000112 0.000257 0.000509 0.000943 0.001635 0.002648 0.004187
2026-01-11 0.000102 0.000242 0.000493 0.000935 0.001650 0.002710 0.004339
2026-01-18 0.000092 0.000228 0.000477 0.000925 0.001661 0.002766 0.004481
2026-01-25 0.000085 0.000220 0.000472 0.000933 0.001700 0.002864 0.004686
2026-02-01 0.000078 0.000210 0.000462 0.000932 0.001725 0.002941 0.004861
2026-02-08 0.000068 0.000192 0.000437 0.000903 0.001703 0.002946 0.004929
2026-02-15 0.000060 0.000178 0.000417 0.000881 0.001692 0.002965 0.005018
2026-02-22 0.000055 0.000169 0.000406 0.000877 0.001708 0.003029 0.005175